Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP)
MAPE: 2.84%
MAE: 1.63
Direction hit: 88.1%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$59.65
|
$59.28 |
-1.48
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$35.93
|
$35.93
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$58.68
|
$62.54 |
-4.12
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$35.93
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$57.50
|
$63.12 |
-8.13
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$35.93
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$56.74
|
$58.55 |
-9.76
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$35.93
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$55.83
|
$57.48 |
-3.82
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$35.93
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$53.07
|
$55.31 |
-5.61
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$35.93
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$52.71
|
$53.17 |
-4.79
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$35.93
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$53.53
|
$52.28 |
-3.21
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$35.93
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$57.09
|
$56.28 |
1.26
|
INITIAL BUY
|
18.84 |
$0.00
|
$35.93
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$60.43
|
$56.47 |
7.36
|
SCALE-IN
|
28.33 |
$0.00
|
$35.93
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$58.34
|
$59.43 |
5.63
|
SCALE-IN
|
37.67 |
$0.00
|
$35.93
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$59.08
|
$60.99 |
5.55
|
SCALE-IN
|
46.43 |
$0.00
|
$35.93
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$59.36
|
$57.48 |
2.27
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$305.62
|
$341.55
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$59.11
|
$62.79 |
-1.32
|
INITIAL BUY
|
17.14 |
$0.00
|
$341.55
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$61.81
|
$60.21 |
3.47
|
SCALE-IN
|
25.60 |
$0.00
|
$341.55
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$56.85
|
$56.95 |
-2.23
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$19.85
|
$361.40
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$56.84
|
$56.88 |
-2.52
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$361.40
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$56.60
|
$59.78 |
-2.51
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$361.40
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$56.32
|
$53.13 |
-5.49
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$361.40
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$56.56
|
$55.03 |
-0.29
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$361.40
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$55.60
|
$55.38 |
-1.24
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$361.40
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$57.79
|
$58.21 |
1.19
|
INITIAL BUY
|
17.76 |
$0.00
|
$361.40
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$59.48
|
$58.88 |
3.16
|
SCALE-IN
|
26.60 |
$0.00
|
$361.40
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$60.19
|
$58.41 |
3.63
|
SCALE-IN
|
35.59 |
$0.00
|
$361.40
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$60.77
|
$60.32 |
5.17
|
SCALE-IN
|
44.24 |
$0.00
|
$361.40
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$60.52
|
$61.60 |
2.73
|
SCALE-IN
|
52.65 |
$0.00
|
$361.40
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$60.99
|
$62.50 |
1.51
|
SCALE-IN
|
60.95 |
$0.00
|
$361.40
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$59.57
|
$59.16 |
-0.62
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$204.17
|
$565.57
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$59.08
|
$59.45 |
-1.69
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$565.57
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$60.06
|
$59.95 |
-0.46
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$565.57
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$60.44
|
$61.17 |
-0.55
|
INITIAL BUY
|
16.79 |
$0.00
|
$565.57
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$61.00
|
$60.69 |
1.43
|
SCALE-IN
|
25.25 |
$0.00
|
$565.57
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$59.54
|
$58.92 |
0.46
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$16.52
|
$582.09
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$59.13
|
$59.30 |
-0.93
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$582.09
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$62.20
|
$62.81 |
1.76
|
INITIAL BUY
|
16.39 |
$0.00
|
$582.09
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$61.09
|
$60.38 |
0.09
|
SCALE-IN
|
24.79 |
$0.00
|
$582.09
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$64.17
|
$61.21 |
4.63
|
SCALE-IN
|
33.25 |
$0.00
|
$582.09
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$63.23
|
$63.77 |
4.10
|
SCALE-IN
|
41.29 |
$0.00
|
$582.09
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$62.68
|
$62.43 |
0.48
|
SCALE-IN
|
49.47 |
$0.00
|
$582.09
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$60.12
|
$59.60 |
-0.97
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$174.51
|
$756.60
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$58.70
|
$61.04 |
-5.47
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$756.60
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$60.16
|
$60.54 |
-3.07
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$756.60
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$60.11
|
$56.95 |
-2.57
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$756.60
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$61.05
|
$61.56 |
0.93
|
INITIAL BUY
|
17.04 |
$0.00
|
$756.60
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$59.83
|
$58.52 |
1.13
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$24.87
|
$781.47
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$61.00
|
$62.82 |
0.84
|
INITIAL BUY
|
16.64 |
$0.00
|
$781.47
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$62.95
|
$62.72 |
2.84
|
SCALE-IN
|
24.83 |
$0.00
|
$781.47
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$61.40
|
$63.10 |
0.35
|
SCALE-IN
|
33.18 |
$0.00
|
$781.47
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$61.90
|
$63.23 |
2.07
|
SCALE-IN
|
41.38 |
$0.00
|
$781.47
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$62.14
|
$60.06 |
1.14
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$104.87
|
$886.34
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$61.34
|
$55.54 |
-1.61
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$886.34
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$58.31
|
$61.20 |
-3.09
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$886.34
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$56.84
|
$58.13 |
-5.06
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$886.34
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$52.59
|
$58.66 |
-9.55
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$886.34
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$50.32
|
$56.94 |
-11.02
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$886.34
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$49.48
|
$51.69 |
-8.83
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$886.34
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$54.05
|
$54.80 |
-2.79
|
INITIAL BUY
|
19.02 |
$0.00
|
$886.34
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$54.92
|
$51.88 |
2.33
|
SCALE-IN
|
28.95 |
$0.00
|
$886.34
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$53.60
|
$52.57 |
3.28
|
SCALE-IN
|
39.06 |
$0.00
|
$886.34
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$53.57
|
$51.71 |
4.09
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$111.00
|
$997.34
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$53.72
|
$53.47 |
-0.33
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$997.34
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$52.90
|
$52.88 |
-2.02
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$997.34
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$55.34
|
$56.62 |
1.74
|
INITIAL BUY
|
18.67 |
$0.00
|
$997.34
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$55.00
|
$56.39 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-4035.07
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$55.34 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$56.32
|
$54.82 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$56.46 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$52.80 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$50.01 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$48.07 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$50.93 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$49.80 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$48.22 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$48.28 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$48.82 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$49.13 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|