Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP)
Model Evaluation — last 30 days for Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP)
MAPE: 4.59%
MAE: 2.51
Direction hit: 88.9%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$62.14
|
$60.06 |
1.14
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$104.87
|
$104.87
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$61.34
|
$55.54 |
-1.61
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$104.87
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$58.31
|
$61.20 |
-3.09
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$104.87
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$56.84
|
$58.13 |
-5.06
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$104.87
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$52.59
|
$58.66 |
-9.55
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$104.87
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$50.32
|
$56.94 |
-11.02
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$104.87
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$49.48
|
$51.69 |
-8.83
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$104.87
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$54.05
|
$54.80 |
-2.79
|
INITIAL BUY
|
19.02 |
$0.00
|
$104.87
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$54.92
|
$51.88 |
2.33
|
SCALE-IN
|
28.95 |
$0.00
|
$104.87
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$53.60
|
$52.57 |
3.28
|
SCALE-IN
|
39.06 |
$0.00
|
$104.87
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$53.57
|
$51.71 |
4.09
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$111.00
|
$215.87
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$53.72
|
$53.47 |
-0.33
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.87
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$52.90
|
$52.88 |
-2.02
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.87
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$55.34
|
$56.62 |
1.74
|
INITIAL BUY
|
18.67 |
$0.00
|
$215.87
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$55.00
|
$56.39 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-4816.54
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$55.34 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$56.32
|
$54.82 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$56.46 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$52.80 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$50.01 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$48.07 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$50.93 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$49.80 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$48.22 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$48.28 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$48.82 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$49.13 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|