Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL)
Model Evaluation — last 30 days for Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL)
MAPE: 1.60%
MAE: 1.43
Direction hit: 94.4%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$89.08
|
$88.45 |
-1.80
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$90.79
|
$88.91 |
0.96
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$91.35
|
$91.85 |
0.62
|
INITIAL BUY
|
11.07 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$94.10
|
$91.61 |
3.79
|
SCALE-IN
|
16.69 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$93.10
|
$92.35 |
4.02
|
SCALE-IN
|
22.19 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$92.23
|
$92.51 |
1.44
|
SCALE-IN
|
27.67 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$92.47
|
$92.67 |
1.12
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$103.42
|
$103.42
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$92.25
|
$92.23 |
-1.85
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$103.42
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$92.23
|
$90.54 |
-0.87
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$103.42
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$89.57
|
$91.35 |
-2.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$103.42
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$86.23
|
$90.31 |
-6.24
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$103.42
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$86.51
|
$89.91 |
-5.74
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$103.42
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$86.97
|
$89.14 |
-5.26
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$103.42
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$87.70
|
$87.57 |
-1.87
|
INITIAL BUY
|
11.60 |
$0.00
|
$103.42
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$87.46
|
$86.01 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1547.33
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$86.63 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$85.94
|
$87.63 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$88.44 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$88.66 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$88.81 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$91.49 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$91.04 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$92.32 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$90.92 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$91.74 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$90.87 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$92.06 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|