Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK)
Model Evaluation — last 30 days for Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK)
MAPE: 1.85%
MAE: 0.90
Direction hit: 72.2%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$48.98
|
$48.04 |
-1.90
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$49.19
|
$48.01 |
-1.25
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$48.46
|
$47.55 |
-1.32
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$49.00
|
$48.30 |
0.50
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$49.14
|
$48.75 |
0.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$49.15
|
$50.55 |
-0.04
|
INITIAL BUY
|
20.64 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$47.22
|
$48.21 |
-1.24
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$11.14
|
$11.14
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$48.27
|
$47.06 |
-0.73
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$11.14
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$49.42
|
$50.39 |
0.28
|
INITIAL BUY
|
20.35 |
$0.00
|
$11.14
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$48.84
|
$48.16 |
-0.31
|
SCALE-IN
|
30.93 |
$0.00
|
$11.14
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$47.78
|
$47.15 |
0.56
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-6.79
|
$4.36
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$47.31
|
$48.61 |
-0.96
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$4.36
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$48.50
|
$47.48 |
-0.92
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$4.36
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$49.01
|
$49.24 |
0.17
|
INITIAL BUY
|
20.93 |
$0.00
|
$4.36
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$46.63
|
$44.78 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-3765.71
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$47.22 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$44.78
|
$43.41 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$44.82 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$44.95 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$44.15 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$43.37 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$42.94 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$42.45 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$41.91 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$41.20 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$40.51 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$40.16 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|