Fastenal Company (FAST)
Model Evaluation — last 30 days for Fastenal Company (FAST)
MAPE: 1.91%
MAE: 0.83
Direction hit: 94.4%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$48.17
|
$47.95 |
-0.53
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$47.88
|
$48.46 |
-0.99
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$47.78
|
$47.62 |
-1.26
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$47.45
|
$47.46 |
-0.27
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$47.55
|
$47.15 |
-0.62
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$46.71
|
$47.17 |
-1.17
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$45.78
|
$46.64 |
-2.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$42.33
|
$46.26 |
-5.12
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$42.75
|
$43.66 |
-4.80
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$42.24
|
$44.29 |
-4.47
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$41.96
|
$41.63 |
-3.82
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$42.46
|
$41.86 |
0.13
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$42.99
|
$43.50 |
0.24
|
INITIAL BUY
|
23.67 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$43.32
|
$42.75 |
1.08
|
SCALE-IN
|
35.59 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$42.99
|
$42.57 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-2077.16
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$43.25 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$42.54
|
$42.92 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$43.13 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$43.25 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$43.64 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$45.44 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$45.56 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$45.83 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$45.24 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$45.05 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$44.65 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$44.69 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|