Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC)
Model Evaluation — last 30 days for Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC)
MAPE: 1.60%
MAE: 2.98
Direction hit: 88.9%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$192.24
|
$191.86 |
-6.45
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$193.14
|
$189.17 |
-3.33
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$193.52
|
$198.88 |
0.78
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.20 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$191.54
|
$187.41 |
-0.77
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-0.36
|
$-0.37
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$188.71
|
$188.97 |
-3.53
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-0.37
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$187.56
|
$190.90 |
-5.58
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-0.37
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$180.89
|
$189.68 |
-12.63
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-0.37
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$183.40
|
$179.84 |
-8.14
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-0.37
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$183.12
|
$184.30 |
-5.59
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-0.37
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$183.83
|
$185.51 |
-3.73
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.53 |
$0.00
|
$-0.37
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$181.15
|
$178.61 |
0.26
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$13.88
|
$13.51
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$184.47
|
$186.96 |
1.07
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.46 |
$0.00
|
$13.51
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$186.27
|
$185.50 |
3.15
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.18 |
$0.00
|
$13.51
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$182.87
|
$186.13 |
-0.96
|
SCALE-IN
|
10.94 |
$0.00
|
$13.51
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$195.96
|
$196.19 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-4065.40
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$201.64 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$196.23
|
$202.81 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$200.37 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$200.01 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$203.18 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$198.33 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$193.35 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$193.92 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$195.30 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$194.66 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$194.58 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$194.53 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|